Posts Tagged ‘REC’

February 2013 SREC Auction Results

Posted February 21st, 2013 by SRECTrade.

SRECTrade’s February 2013 SREC Auction closed on 2/1/13. Below are the clearing prices by vintage across the markets covered in the auction.

February SREC Prices SREC Vintage Year
State 2011 2012 2013*
Delaware
Maryland $140.00
Massachusetts $206.12
New Jersey $95.00 $110.00
Ohio In-State $40.00
Ohio Out-of-State $9.00
Pennsylvania $10.00
Washington, DC $366.13 $370.00

Notes:
*Delaware, New Jersey and Pennsylvania operate on a June-May energy year. For example, current vintage SRECs are generated beginning in June of 2012.
Green text represents a price increase over the last auction clearing price for that vintage, red text represents a decrease.
“-” reflects no sale, which would result if there were no SRECs available for sale in that vintage or there were no matching bids and offers to determine a clearing price.

For detailed analysis of SREC market prices and trends please subscribe to the SREC Market Monitor, a joint publication of Greentech Media’s GTM Research and SRECTrade.

State Market Observations:

Delaware: No DE SRECs transacted in the February auction.  Most demand for DE SRECs will be through the DE SEU SREC Procurement Program solicitations. For the latest information on the upcoming 2013 solicitation click here: 2013 DE Program Announcement.

Maryland: MD2012 SRECs have consistently transacted at $140/SREC over the past 3 auction periods. As Q1 2013 comes to a close any compliance entities needing MD12 SRECs will be wrapping up their purchases. It is expected that the market will  experience a small amount of oversupply for the 2012 compliance period.

Massachusetts: MA2012 SRECs traded at $206.12/SREC. SREC issuance volumes in Q1-Q3 2012 and October – December 2012 MWhs reported to the MA CEC demonstrate that 2012’s requirements have been met. The next SREC issuance for Q4 2012 generation will fall on April 15, 2013. The 2012 market will be oversupplied by approximately 50% of this year’s compliance obligation.

New Jersey: NJ2012 and NJ2013 SRECs traded up to $95 and $110/SREC, respectively. The NJ Office of Clean Energy announced total installed capacity through January 2013 was estimated to be 973.4 MW, a monthly increase of approximately 17.4 MW. Monthly install rates continue to surpass RPS requirements.

Ohio: OH2012 Sited SRECs increased to $40/SREC and OH2012 Adjacent SRECs traded at $9/SREC. Both markets are oversupplied. Most demand for OH Sited SRECs has been fulfilled through long term agreements with large utility scale projects or through long term RFPs with the state’s regulated utilities. 2012 compliance obligations are currently being finalized.

Pennsylvania: PA2013 SRECs traded at $10/SREC, $2/SREC less than the January 2013 auction. SREC oversupply continues to impact PA’s market. 

Washington, DC: The 2010, 2011, and 2012 vintages increased to $330, $366.13, and $370/SREC, respectively. Increases in price may continue as the 2012 and 2013 markets are under supplied.

For historical auction pricing please see this link. The next SRECTrade auction closes on Thursday, February 28th at 5 p.m. ET and will cover PJM and MA Solar RECs. The next auction will be the first in which 2013 vintage SRECs will be available in Maryland, Ohio, and Washington, DC. Click here to sign in and place an order.

MA2012 SREC Auction Closes at $271.05/SREC

Posted July 17th, 2012 by SRECTrade.

The Q1 2012 (January – March 2012 generation) MA SRECs were issued on July 15, 2012. Unlike other SREC markets, the MA Solar Carve-Out program mints SRECs quarterly, three and a half months after the close of the calendar quarter. In coordination with the Q1 2012 issuance, SRECTrade recently held a separate auction for MA2012 SRECs.

The auction order window closed on Monday, July 16th at 5:00 p.m. Eastern. SRECs were transacted at a price of $271.05 per SREC. The clearing price, below the Department of Energy Resources (DOER) Solar Credit Clearinghouse auction price, is a result of the oversupply of SRECs the MA2012 market will experience. According to NEPOOL GIS, 14,479 MA2012 SRECs were issued for Q1 2012 generation. Approximately 15% of this volume was available through SRECTrade in the last auction period. As a result of the price, the auction saw light volumes trade hands given the gap in pricing expectations between buyers and sellers.

The next SRECTrade Solar REC auction order window closes on Thursday, August 2 at 5 p.m. ET. This auction will cover all of the SREC markets including DC, DE, MA, MD, NJ, OH, and PA. The order window is currently open. All buyers and self-serve sellers can login here to place an order. Sellers utilizing SRECTrade’s management service, EasyREC, will have orders automatically placed on their behalf. If these sellers need to make changes to their minimum offer prices, they must do so prior to the 5:00 p.m. close on August 2nd.

The next issuance of MA Eligible SRECs will be on October 15, 2012, and will cover the second quarter of 2012 eligible SRECs.

Massachusetts SREC Market Update – June 2012

Posted June 20th, 2012 by SRECTrade.

For a PDF copy of this analysis click here: Massachusetts SREC Market Update – June 2012

Introduction

The Massachusetts 2012 compliance year began on January 1, 2012. SREC issuance for Q1 2012 generation (January – March 2012) will take place on July 15, 2012. Solar REC under supply in previous compliance periods led to SRECs pricing just below the Solar Alternative Compliance Payment (SACP). Pricing right below the SACP is common in the early stages of a market with a Solar Carve-Out requirement in a state’s Renewable Portfolio Standard (RPS). As the market matures and attracts more participants, typically due to high SREC prices, the market sees an overbuild of solar which quickly turns to an oversupplied market and pricing declines.

As the Massachusetts 2012 compliance year moves on, the prospect of oversupply has become apparent. In March 2012 we provided an update on MA solar supply, taking a closer look at three different potential install scenarios for the 2012 period. This update takes a similar approach, analyzing how various project size categories are impacting the market and what the forecast scenarios mean for 2012 supply. Additionally, we will look at how these scenarios could impact the 2013 SREC requirements.

Solar Installed Can Reach Oversupply – Current and Historic Capacity

The chart below demonstrates the beginning balances of MW capacity (in gray), the added MW capacity (in green), and the total capacity (above each bar) on a monthly basis going back to January 2011. The balances below were derived from the Department of Energy Resources’ (DOER) RPS Solar Carve-Out Qualified Units report as of June 7, 2012. Monthly capacity balances are based on the Commercial Operation Date noted in the report.

Converting 2012’s SREC requirement to an average balance of online MW capacity, we estimate approximately 65.0 MW needed to be operational all year long. Note, this takes into consideration the exempt load resulting from the TransCanada settlement. Taking the beginning balance of capacity as of January 1, 2012 and the ending balance of capacity as of May 31, 2012, the average capacity online for the 2012 year to date is 61.2 MW. During this five month period, 21.5 MW were installed, compared to 10.3 MW, a growth rate of 109.0%, for the same period in 2011. Additionally, the DOER noted the MWh reported to the Production Tracking System (PTS) from January 2012 to May 2012.

As shown above, the MWhs reported through May 2012 are approximately 40% of this year’s SREC obligation. Historically, the MWh reported to the PTS have typically been understated as compared to the actual number of SRECs issued in NEPOOL GIS. With less than half way through the year, and some of the most productive months ahead of us, it appears that the generation reported and the expected remaining generation is in line to exceed this year’s obligation.

500 kW+ Projects See Growth – Projects Installed by Size Category

The last time we evaluated MA projects by size category, projects less than 500 kW saw substantial growth. In addition to continued growth in these categories, MA solar has also seen growth in projects greater than 500 kW. In the early stages of the MA SREC market, projects greater than 500 kW quickly have an impact on SREC oversupply. The table below shows operational projects based on their DOER reported commercial  operation date as of June 30, 2011 and June 1, 2012.

Three Cases Point to Oversupply in 2012 – Capacity Forecast Scenarios

Over the Last Twelve Months (LTM),  June 2011 – May 2012, average operational capacity installed has been 4.1 MW per month. The cases presented below apply three scenarios for the remaining months in the compliance period (June – December 2012):

1) Half of the LTM average capacity is added per month: This equals approximately 2.0 MW/month for the remaining months left in 2012. Note, the DOER’s June 7, 2012 data showed 2.3 MW installed in June alone, thus we can be assured that at least this capacity and likely more will come online in June.

2) LTM average capacity remains the same per month: This equals approximately 4.1 MW/month for the remaining months left in 2012.

3) Two times the LTM average capacity is added per month: This equals approximately 8.2 MW/month for the remaining months left in 2012.

As demonstrated in the cases above, each scenario forecasts oversupply for the 2012 period. Furthermore, adjusting Case 1 to reflect no solar installed in the 2nd half of the year, the market would still see oversupply of approximately 5,400 SRECs, or 7.3% of the estimated MA2012 requirement.

This outlook has had downward pricing pressure on both the 2012 vintage as well as future periods. 2012 SRECs have traded down from 2011 prices, recently trading around $300/SREC. Additionally, multi-year forward contracts for delivery beginning in 2013 are trading below the Solar Credit Clearinghouse Auction price; below $200/SREC.

Not Much Solar Needed in 2013 – Forecasting MA’s 2013 SREC Compliance Obligation

In August 2012, the DOER will release a statement announcing the 2013 compliance year obligation. The SREC compliance obligation is set by a formula per regulation 225 CMR 14.07 (2)(d). The formula for 2013 is currently set as follows:

Total Compliance Obligation 2013 = Total Compliance Obligation 2012 + [Total SRECs Generated (projected) 2012 – SRECs Generated (actual) 2011] x 1.3 – ACP Volume 2011 + Banked Volume 2011 + Auction Volume 2011

The table below estimates what the 2013 requirement may be under each scenario presented above. It is important to note the 2012 Compliance Obligation is presented without exemptions as it was done for 2011 when calculating the 2012 obligation. Additionally, the ACP volume for 2011 was determined using our estimated 2011 requirement after exemptions less 2011 actual generation, as this would be reflective of the full number of ACPs paid.

The forecast figures demonstrate that a substantial amount of generation, ~36,300 SRECs, would be reduced from the 2013 requirement given the volume of ACPs paid for 2011 compliance requirements. In Case 3, this would put the market at oversupply prior to the beginning of 2013, while Case 1 and Case 2 would need less than the current LTM average installed capacity per month to be installed in 2013.



MA2011 SREC Auction Closes at $540/SREC

Posted April 18th, 2012 by SRECTrade.

The Q4 2011 (October – December 2011 generation) MA SRECs were issued on April 15, 2012. Unlike other SREC markets, the MA Solar Carve-Out program mints SRECs quarterly, three and a half months after the close of the calendar quarter. In coordination with the Q4 2011 issuance, SRECTrade recently held a separate auction for MA2011 SRECs.

The auction order window closed on Monday, April 16th at 5:00 p.m. Eastern. SRECs transacted at a clearing price of $540.00 per SREC. The clearing price, more than 98% of the 2011 Solar Alternative Compliance Payment (SACP), represents a strong demand for MA2011 SRECs due to a shortfall of supply in the market.

The next SRECTrade Solar REC auction order window closes on Tuesday, May 1 at 5 p.m. ET. This auction will cover all of the PJM SREC markets including DC, DE, MD, NJ, OH, and PA. The order window is currently open. All buyers and self-serve sellers can login here to place an order. Sellers utilizing SRECTrade’s management service, EasyREC, will have orders automatically placed on their behalf. If these sellers need to make changes to their minimum offer prices, they must do so prior to the 5:00 p.m. close on May 1.

The next issuance of MA Eligible SRECs will be on July 15, 2012, and will cover the first quarter of 2012 eligible SRECs. The MA market continues to see a lot of installation and development activity, which has already put downward pressure on the price of 2012 vintage SRECs. Recent bid and offer activity in the over the counter markets has been at levels of approximately 50-65% of the 2012 $550 Solar Alternative Compliance Payment (SACP).

April 2012 SREC Auction Results

Posted April 4th, 2012 by SRECTrade.

SRECTrade’s April 2012 SREC Auction closed this week. Below are the clearing prices by vintage across the markets SRECTrade is currently active in.

April SREC Prices Energy Year Ending
State 2010 2011 2012*
Delaware
Maryland
Massachusetts
New Jersey $135.00
Ohio In-State $234.99 $185.00
Ohio Out-of-State $17.50 $30.00
Pennsylvania $20.00 $20.00
Washington, DC $250.00 $277.50 $290.00

Notes:
*Delaware, New Jersey and Pennsylvania operate on a June-May energy year.
Green text represents a price increase over the last auction clearing price for that vintage, red text represents a decrease.
“-” reflects no sale, which would result if there were no SRECs available for sale in that vintage or there were no matching bids and offers to determine a clearing price.

State Market Observations:

Please note, all capacity references are from the February capacity analysis and reference the amount of supply registered as of the end of February. The demand noted is the estimated capacity needed to be operational all year long for the current compliance period. Additional details regarding SREC issuance and older vintages impacting the RPS requirements are noted in the capacity analysis.

Delaware (Supply: 27.1 MW | Demand: 19.8 MW): No DE SRECs transacted in the April auction. The Delaware PSC approved the SREC Procurement Pilot Program for long term contract solicitations. The solicitation window opened this week.

Maryland (In-state Supply: 41.8 MW | Demand: 56.1 MW): No MD SRECs transacted in the April auction. Legislation to pull forward the Solar RPS requirements passed the Senate today in a vote of 37-9.

Massachusetts (Operational Supply: 52.6 MW | 2011 Demand: 55.7 MW, 2012 Demand: 65.0 MW): There was no sale of MA SRECs this period as they were sold in the Quarterly SREC Auction in mid-January. The next quarterly MA SREC auction will close on April 16, 2012. See the following link for an update on the MA SREC market: Massachusetts SREC Market Update – March 2012.

New Jersey (Supply: 689.1 MW | Demand: 368.3 MW): The 2012 market declined to $135. The continued decline in 2012 pricing reflects the substantial amount of supply currently installed relative to the 2012 and future compliance requirements.

Ohio (In-State Supply: 44.0 MW; Out-of-state Supply: 81.3 MW | Demand: 79.4 MW) : OH2011 sited SRECs increased to $234.99 as compliance obligations are being finalized for the year. 2012 pricing for in-state SRECs declined to $185. The out-of-state SREC market declined to $17.50 and $30 for the 2011 and 2012 vintages, respectively. This decline is driven by the oversupply from PA as well as the other adjacent states not having their own SREC programs.

Pennsylvania (Supply: 182.0 MW | Demand 41.2 MW): PA2011 SRECs traded up from $10 to $20, while we saw a slight decrease in the 2012 vintage to $20.

Washington, DC (Supply: 23.1 MW | Demand: 51.0 MW): The 2010 vintage saw a decline from $275 to $250/SREC, while the 2011 DC SRECs increased slightly to $277.50/SREC. Compliance year 2012 SRECs traded at $290/SREC.

For historical pricing please see this link. The next SRECTrade auction closes on Monday, April 16 at 5 p.m. ET and will cover MA2011 SRECs. The next PJM Solar REC auction will close on Tuesday, May 1 at 5 p.m. ET. Click here to sign in and place an order.

Massachusetts SREC Market Update – March 2012

Posted March 16th, 2012 by SRECTrade.

For a PDF copy of this analysis click here: Massachusetts SREC Market Update – March 2012

The MA2012 SREC compliance year began in January 2012. There has been a lot of attention on the Bay State’s solar carve-out program and installation activity continues to pick up. A substantial under supply in 2010 and 2011 vintages resulted in SRECs pricing just shy of the alternative compliance payment (ACP). Moving forward many stakeholders are closely watching how supply will impact 2012 and future period valuations. The analysis below takes a look at current capacity levels and provides some insight into how the market may shape up in 2012.

As of March 6, 2012, the MA Department of Energy Resources (DOER) posted updated total qualified solar capacity figures. The DOER noted that due to a delay from MassCEC, the entity that approves all renewable projects in the Commonwealth, the project-level details of the total qualified capacity is not yet available. As of this writing, the DOER was still awaiting the information from MassCEC and noted an updated report would be published when available.

MA Chart

The total qualified capacity noted as of the update is as follows:

– Total Qualified Capacity (3/6/12): 63.6 MW (1,704 projects)
– Total Operational Capacity (3/6/12): 52.6 MW (1,671 projects)
– Total Operational Capacity (1/1/12): 48.3 MW (1,595 projects)

Based on the historic capacity that has come online since December 2010, below is some analysis demonstrating capacity that could be expected to come online throughout the 2012 compliance period.

Historic Capacity 3_15_12

The table above demonstrates the amount of operational capacity as reported by the DOER based on the dates indicated. Note, these figures are (and were) readily available on the DOER’s public website.  Looking at the last 12 DOER reported periods (which we’ll refer to as Last Twelve Months, or LTM for our purposes), the average MW added per month was just above 4.0 MW.

Using the January 1, 2012 starting capacity of 48.3 MW and the March 6 operational capacity of 52.6 MW, we have inferred that on average 2.2 MW became operational in January and February 2012. The analysis below demonstrates 3 cases. In each case, a different capacity scenario is presented based on the average amount of added capacity over the LTM. Case 1 assumes only half of the LTM average capacity is added per month; Case 2 assumes the same amount of LTM average capacity is added per month; and Case 3 assumes two times the amount of LTM average capacity is added per month. Note, these forecast figures were derived simply based on historic rates. The figures do not take into consideration the amount of capacity currently in the interconnection pipeline. Many factors can impact these figures, including the timing associated with interconnection, changes in federal incentive policies, and pricing and liquidity in the MA SREC forward market, to name a few.

Forecast MA Capacity 3_15_12

*Note the Estimated Production Factor per Period is based on a 1.13 MWh per installed kW per year adjusted for seasonal impacts.

The 3 cases presented herein demonstrate a market that is slightly undersupplied (Case 1), a market that is slightly oversupplied, or almost flat (Case 2), and a market that is oversupplied by approximately 30% (Case 3). Also, it is important to note that expected volume in each case presented could change if the roll out of additional capacity is not evenly disbursed. Depending on each scenario, SREC prices will adjust accordingly.

Through the Q3 2011 issuance period (1/15/12), 19,257 MA2011 SRECs have been minted. Additionally, more than 7,000 MWh have been reported to the PTS during Q4 2011. The Department of Energy Resources (DOER) projects approximately 29,000 SRECs to be generated in 2011, leaving the market short approximately 33,900 SRECs. As a result of this substantial undersupply, MA2011 SRECs have traded close to the 2011 ACP value of $550/SREC. In recent trading, the MA2012 market has priced at approximately 65% of MA2011 spot prices. Additionally, bidding for multi-year forward contracts beginning with 2012 delivery is currently below the Solar Credit Clearinghouse Auction price.

Projects Installed by Size Category

Given the relatively smaller MW capacity requirements in the early stages of the MA SREC program, the installation of larger scale (>1 MW) projects can easily have a substantial impact on the SREC requirements. Looking at the various cases presented above, they demonstrate that the installation of enough >1 MW projects could easily tip the market into oversupply. Additionally, it is possible that commercial size projects ranging from 100kW to 500kW could have an impact as well. While >1 MW projects quickly meet the 2012 requirements, many of these projects take much longer to come to fruition. The design, interconnection, construction, and financing processes for these projects can take several months. Installers and developers in MA have recently noted that smaller, multi-100kW commercial projects are much faster from inception to power generation. It is common that these projects are financed using all equity capital or debt sourced from an existing banking relationship established and backed by a corporate entity’s balance sheet. Considering these factors, it is very possible the multi-100kW size category will have a meaningful impact on the MA2012 SREC market.

The table below analyses various size categories of systems and the number of projects installed and how these categories grew from DOER reported data as of July 11, 2011 vs. January 25, 2012.

Project Categories 3_15_12

As demonstrated above, both the residential (<50kW) and commercial (>50 kw to 500kW) categories grew at substantial rates during the periods presented. Given these historic growth rates and the amount of current solar development interest in MA, it is expected that we will continue to see more growth in these size categories throughout 2012.

The final MA2011 issuance period for Q4 2011 SRECs is April 15, 2011. The first MA2012 spot trades will commence after the Q1 MA2012 issuance period on July 15, 2012.

February 2012 SREC Auction Results

Posted February 3rd, 2012 by SRECTrade.

SRECTrade’s February 2012 SREC Auction closed this week. Below are the clearing prices by vintage across the markets SRECTrade is currently active in.

February SREC Prices Energy Year Ending
State 2010 2011 2012*
Delaware $60.00
Maryland In-State $180.00 $205.00
Maryland Out-of-State
Massachusetts
New Jersey $205.00
Ohio In-State $285.00
Ohio Out-of-State $40.00
Pennsylvania $9.99 $30.00 $35.00
Washington, DC $275.00

Notes:
*Delaware, New Jersey and Pennsylvania operate on a June-May energy year.
Green text represents a price increase over the last auction clearing price for that vintage, red text represents a decrease.
“-” reflects no sale, which would result if there were no matching bids and offers that cleared for a sale in the auction.

State Market Observations:

Please note, all capacity references are from the December capacity analysis and reference the amount of supply registered as of the end of December. Additional details regarding SREC issuance are provided in the capacity analysis.

Delaware (Supply: 25.5 MW | Demand: 19.8 MW): Pricing was down from $65.00/SREC to $60.00. The Delaware PSC approved the SREC Procurement Pilot Program for long term contract solicitations which should commence in Q2. As of January 3, 2012, PJM GATS reported the issuance of approximately 13,560 DE2011-12 vintage SRECs. Additional SRECs from prior eligible periods may also impact the market should there be a demand for these older vintage SRECs.

Maryland (In-state Supply: 37.8 MW | Demand: 27.6 MW): SRECs held at $205 this past auction period.  MD2011 Out-of-State did not trade. The state continues on pace to maintain a balanced supply relative to demand for the compliance year.

Massachusetts (Operational Supply: 32.5 MW | Demand: 55.7 MW): There was no sale of MA SRECs this period as they were sold in the Quarterly SREC Auction in mid-January. The next quarterly MA SREC auction will close in mid-April.

New Jersey (Supply: 483.2 MW* | Demand: 368 MW): The 2012 market dropped back down to $205 after the state legislature failed to pass a Bill to increase the solar requirements. Inaction will lead to continued declines in pricing.

Ohio (In-State Supply: 29.0 MW; Out-of-state Supply: 68.0 MW | Demand: 39.1 MW) : OH2011 sited SRECs dropped to $285 with growing SREC supply from large in-state systems. The out-of-state SREC market increased again to $40/SREC.

Pennsylvania (Supply: 159.4 MW | Demand 41.2 MW): PA2011 SRECs traded up again to $30/SREC and PA2012 increased to $35/SREC.

Washington, DC (Supply: 21.7 MW | Demand: 41.9 MW): The 2011 DC SRECs increased to $275/SREC.

For historical pricing please see this link. The next SRECTrade auction closes on Thursday, March 1 at 5 p.m. ET.

January 2012 SREC Auction Results

Posted January 10th, 2012 by SRECTrade.

SRECTrade’s January 2012 SREC Auction closed last week. Below are the clearing prices by vintage across the markets SRECTrade is currently active in.

January SREC Prices Energy Year Ending
State 2010 2011 2012*
Delaware $65.00
Maryland In-State $204.99
Maryland Out-of-State $35.00
Massachusetts
New Jersey $245.00 $245.00
Ohio In-State
Ohio Out-of-State $30.00 $35.00
Pennsylvania $20.00 $29.99
Washington, DC $250.00 $270.00

Notes:
*Delaware, New Jersey and Pennsylvania operate on a June-May energy year.
Green text represents a price increase over the last auction clearing price for that vintage, red text represents a decrease.
“-” reflects no sale, which would result if there were no matching bids and offers that cleared for a sale in the auction.

State Market Observations:

Please note, all capacity references are from the latest SRECTrade capacity analysis and reference the amount of supply registered as of the end of December. Additional details regarding SREC issuance are provided in the capacity analysis.

Delaware (Supply: 25.5 MW | Demand: 19.8 MW): Pricing increased slightly this period, trading up to $65.00/SREC. The Delaware PSC approved the SREC Procurement Pilot Program for long term contract solicitations. As of January 3, 2012, PJM GATS reported the issuance of approximately 13,560 DE2011-12 vintage SRECs. Additional SRECs from prior eligible periods may also impact the market should there be a demand for these older vintage SRECs.

Maryland (In-state Supply: 37.8 MW | Demand: 27.6 MW): SRECs declined slightly to $204.99 this past auction period. While not seeing any demand all year long, MD2011 Out-of-State traded at $35/SREC. The state continues on pace to maintain a balanced supply relative to demand for the compliance year. As 2011 compliance obligations are finalized, a shortage of SRECs in the state, if any, will be reflected by an increase in prices at the end of the trading period.

Massachusetts (Operational Supply: 32.5 MW | Demand: 55.7 MW): There was no sale of MA2011 SRECs this period. The next quarterly MA SREC auction will close on Tuesday, January 17, 2012.

New Jersey (Supply: 483.2 MW* | Demand: 368 MW): The 2012 market increased to $245 this auction period. Approximately 15% of the available supply in the auction cleared, representing a gap between buyer and seller’s expectation of value. Oversupply continues to grow as the state has averaged 32.0 MW installed per month since the beginning of the compliance period. October 2011 saw an increase in 41.2 MW. *Note: This figure represents the capacity registered in PJM GATS as of December 2011. Please reference the capacity analysis link above for details on NJ Office of Clean Energy installed capacity figures.

Ohio (In-State Supply: 29.0 MW; Out-of-state Supply: 68.0 MW | Demand: 39.1 MW) : There was no sale of OH2011 sited SRECs. The out-of-state SREC market saw activity, increasing in value from $30/SREC to $35/SREC.

Pennsylvania (Supply: 159.4 MW | Demand 41.2 MW): PA2011 SRECs traded up to $20/SREC and PA2012 increased to $29.99/SREC. HB 1508 will go before the Pennsylvania Commerce Committee this Wednesday, 1/11/12.

Washington, DC (Supply: 21.7 MW | Demand: 41.9 MW): Prices continue to increase as legislation closing the DC market borders and increasing requirements take effect on the market. The 2010 vintage cleared at $255.16/SREC, while the 2011 vintage cleared at $270/SREC. Note, the SREC and capacity figures do not take into consideration the amount of electricity delivered into the district that may be exempt from complying with the Distributed Generation Amendment Act increases, considering some electricity contracts may have been signed prior to the amendment’s implementation

For historical pricing please see this link. The next SRECTrade auction covering Q3 MA2011 generation closes on Tuesday, January 17 at 5 p.m. ET. The following auction covering all markets closes on Tuesday, January 31 at 5 p.m. ET.

MA DOER Releases Solar Carve-out ACP Guideline

Posted December 29th, 2011 by SRECTrade.

On December 28, 2011, the Massachusetts Department of Energy Resources (DOER) announced that after reviewing the public comments on the suggested 10-year Forward Schedule for the Solar Alternative Compliance Payment (SACP or ACP) rate, they published a guideline to establish the 10-year rolling ACP rate schedule. This guideline will act as an interim step to implement permanent regulatory change. The DOER will be working to revise the existing regulations to implement the new ACP schedule into the Solar Carve-Out program. It will replace the existing ACP rules that provided the DOER the discretion to reduce the ACP on an annual basis.

The DOER noted the following in its release:

“DOER recognizes the importance for project developers and project financers, along with retail electric suppliers with compliance obligations, to have greater certainty of the ACP Rate further into the future.  Additional certainty is expected to enhance parties’ abilities to estimate expected SREC revenue streams and to facilitate project financing and negotiations for long-term contracts for SRECs.  The ACP rate must be sufficient to ensure sufficient project profitability to stimulate market growth to meet the program goals, but avoid unnecessary costs to ratepayers”

DOER recognizes the importance for project developers and project financers, along with
retail electric suppliers with compliance obligations, to have greater certainty of the ACP Rate
further into the future.  Additional certainty is expected to enhance parties’ abilities to estimate
expected SREC revenue streams and to facilitate project financing and negotiations for long-term
contracts for SRECs.  The ACP rate must be sufficient to ensure sufficient project profitability to
stimulate market growth to meet the program goals, but avoid unnecessary costs to ratepayer

The ACP schedule to be implemented is at the values initially proposed. The table below outlines the schedule. Over the course of the 2012 and 2013 compliance periods, the rate will stay set at $550 per SREC and decline by 5% per year thereafter. Additionally, by January 31 of each year, the DOER will announce the new 10th year price in order to maintain a complete 10 year schedule at all times.

MA SACP Schedule 8_2_11

Rhode Island National Grid Seeks Standard Contracts

Posted December 7th, 2011 by SRECTrade.

National Grid Rhode Island is currently procuring applications for standard contracts from eligible Distributed Generation projects. The enrollment started on December 1, 2011 at 9am EPT, and will close on December 14, 2011 at 5pm EPT. The contracts will last for 15 years, and will cover a total of 5MW of capacity, with 1.5 MW allocated to wind and 3.5 to solar in the following distribution and ceiling price.

2011 Class Nameplate 2011 Target(kW) Nameplate 2011 Ceiling Price (cents/kWh)
Solar-PV: 10-150 kW 0.5 MW 33.35
Solar-PV: 151-500 kW 1.0 MW 31.60
Solar-PV: 501-5,000 kW 2.0 MW 28.95
Wind 1.5 MW 13.35

In order to be eligible for this procurement, systems must

  • Be an electric generation unit that uses exclusively an eligible renewable energy resource (as defined under R.I.G.L S39-26-5  and section 5 of the rules and regulations governing the implementation of a renewable energy standard)
  • Neither have begun operations, nor completed financing for construction
  • Be located in the Narragansett Electric Company ISO-NE load zone
  • Not have a nameplate capacity greater than 5MW
  • Be connected to the electric distribution company’s power system.

In addition, project owners must have submitted an Interconnection application and have a completed Feasibility or Impact study as defined in the Rhode Island Distributed Generation Interconnection Act and The Narragansett Electric Company Standards for Connecting Distributed Generation.

A performance guarantee deposit will have to be paid at the time of execution of the contract. It will be assessed based on $15.00 per REC for small distributed generation projects (<500kW), and $25 per REC for large distributed generation projects (>500kW) estimated to be generated per year. The total sum will be no lower than $500 and not more than $75,000. Should the distributed generation facility not produce the output proposed in its enrollment application within (18) months of contract execution, the contract will be voided automatically, and the performance guarantee deposit forfeited.

For facilities that are also being employed for net metering, a proposal may be submitted to sell the excess output from the project. In this case, the class in which the project belongs is determined by total project size, not the excess output offered.

The project must obtain qualification as a renewable resource as per Rhode Island’s Renewable Energy Standard, and must register with NEPOOL-GIS. Once qualified, National Grid must be designated to receive all the RECs produced by the project through NEPOOL-GIS.

More information and the application forms can be found on the National Grid Procurement Website.