Archive for the ‘SREC Pricing’ Category

Proposed Finance Rules Emphasize Centralized Trading

Posted June 9th, 2010 by SRECTrade.

As Barney Frank, Chris Dodd and Tim Geithner draft the new rules of engagement for Wall Street, centralized trading’s virtues are taking a center stage. Centralized exchanges, like London Medal Exchange or Chicago Mercantile Exchange, bring transparency, price clarity and reduced counterparty risk. All the trades are collateralized and the exchange stands in the middle to guarantee contract performance.

SRECTrade’s long-term contract market has introduced these benefits to the SREC market. You can see live, tradable SREC prices updated in real-time.


Pennsylvania SREC Market in 2010

Posted February 19th, 2010 by SRECTrade.

Despite a robust RPS and the threat of non-compliance fines above $550, the Pennsylvania SREC market has been slow to develop. We take a quick look at some of the factors that influence this market and hopefully provide some insight as to why the Pennsylvania SREC demand has been low.

Demand Issues: For starters, the PA RPS is expected to ramp up as described on our Pennsylvania Page. Based on current electricity sales into Pennsylvania, we project the demand for SRECs to be as follows:

According to this projection, approximately 20,000 SRECs need to be purchased in Pennsylvania for generation through May 31, 2010. However, the reality is a bit more complex. Electricity markets are composed of three types of companies: electricity generators who supply the power, electricity transmitters responsible for transmission and electricity distributors responsible for the delivery of the retail electricity. It is important to know that although the distribution companies (EDCs) or retail utilities are most commonly associated with state RPS goals, it is actually the numerous electricity suppliers who are responsible for purchasing the SRECs to meet the RPS. The Pennsylvania electricity market is comprised of 11 Electricity Distribution Companies (EDCs).  Behind each EDC are the many suppliers providing power to them.  When the PA RPS was passed, the suppliers for several EDCs were exempted for the first few years. According to the DSIRE website, these EDCs were exempted because they were under rate freezes or still recovering from costs associated with restructuring. In all, 5 of the 11 EDCs are exempt. The exemption ended this January of 2010 for one of the EDCs and the exemption for the other 4 will expire in January of 2011.  More significantly, these EDCs represent over 85% of the total electricity market exempt through January of 2010 and 70% exempt through January of 2011!  With that said, this changes the outlook for SREC demand in Pennsylvania substantially in 2010 and 2011:

As a result, the actual demand for PA SRECs in the 2009-10 Energy Year drops from nearly 20,000 SRECs to under 5,000 SRECs – 25% of what was initially projected. In 2010-11, the demand drops from an initial projection of 33,000 SRECs down to 21,000 SRECs – about 60% of initial projections!

Procurement Issues: In addition to a decreased demand in the early years of the PA market, the state also has some constraints in place that have created challenges for buyers and sellers to connect in this market. For the first time in history, home and business owners are entering electricity markets as generators. These markets are geared towards large corporations that produce significant amounts of power, and as a result, the approach many companies have taken to procuring SRECs is geared towards large companies (as an aside, this is why GATS is such a cumbersome platform for solar owners). In addition, since most of these companies are heavily regulated, protections are put in place to ensure a competitive process. Unfortunately, these protections are also geared towards large companies.  The end result is that the Pennsylvania Public Utilities Commission (PUC) requires buyers to use a competitive RFP process.

Well, the problem is that most solar owners don’t even know what an RFP is, let alone have the requirements in place to be eligible. This explains why most RFPs for SRECs are severely under-prescribed and why in late 2009, PPL successfully petitioned the PUC to lessen the credit requirements necessary to bid in their RFP. Instead of being required to have a credit rating and listing with an accredited credit agency, you now only needed to put up a letter of credit to bid on the opportunity to sell SRECs in minimum bundles of 500!

Fortunately, it seems that the PUC continues to re-evaluate this process and the constraints they have placed on the suppliers.  Most recently, they have proposed a change to their policy to allow suppliers to enter into a restricted volume of bi-lateral contracts that are also restricted in value by the average value of SRECs procured in the adjacent RFPs. You can read the proposal and we encourage you to submit your comments. While this is a step forward, we still believe that this will likely incentivize the same companies bidding on RFPs to just enter into the bi-lateral contracts, squeezing out the rest of the market.  We setup our auction to ensure a competitive process that is accessible to all market participants and hope that future iterations of PUC policy changes will better address the entire SREC market and allow more compliance buyers to enter into auctions like SRECTrade without having to jump through legal hoops in order to do so.

Conclusion: The Pennsylvania SREC market has an extremely promising future and all signs are pointing in the right direction. We believe that this is an iterative process. Looking back at the lead taken by New Jersey, their SREC program has been amended several times and it is now inspiring a prolific SREC market. Pennsylvania will continue to tweak its program until the market truly is more efficient and effective in promoting solar. Until then, we at SRECTrade are doing everything we can to bring buyers to the market, as well as set up other means for selling SRECs for our clients. The great news is that most facilities eligible in Pennsylvania are also likely to be eligible in DC and Ohio where in the short-term, SREC prices will be better. If you have any questions, as always, feel free to contact us.

SREC-Based Financing Program for ACE, JCP&L and RECO

Posted January 28th, 2010 by SRECTrade.

ACE, JCP&L and RECO have an SREC-Based Financing Program that is available to solar project developers. The utilities are expected to issue three RFPs (requests for proposals) per year available to solar developers in these territories for projects under 500kW with 10-15 year contracts.  In theory, the program is intended to promote solar by providing reasonable assurances regarding the prices of SRECs, however, the RFPs, run by NERA Economic Consulting have not reached the targets set by the program.  In the first solicitation, only 8 bids were received, the most recent one reached 44. The firms intend to increase the targets for future RFPs in order to meet the original goal of the program. As seen below, the average prices tend to be around $400/SREC, while the lowest price bid by a developer was well under $300/SREC! Although these RFPs aren’t viable for the majority of the prospective developers out there, it should serve as an indication of the long term contracts that are out there.

The New Jersey Board of Public Utilities (“Board” or “BPU”) has approved the results of the second solicitation of the SREC-Based Financing Program for ACE, JCP&L, and RECO, which was held in December 2009.  The results are as follows:

Forty-four (44) bids were received, totaling 7,009.628 kW.

Thirty-nine (39) awards were made, totaling 6,521.798 kW.

Five bids (5) were rejected because pricing was found not to be competitive, totaling 487.830 kW.

The simple average NPV of all accepted projects was $2,864.93 (corresponding to an average price of $405.15/SREC for a ten-year project).

The low NPV of all accepted projects is $1,926.53 (corresponding to an average price of $272.44/SREC for a ten-year project).

SRECs and Taxes: A Customer’s Perspective

Posted January 25th, 2010 by SRECTrade.

The following is a piece of advice that comes to us from one of our customers, Michael from Maryland. You can find out more about his adventures in solar at www.solarpvhome.com.

Here are my thoughts on the SRECs and taxable income topic. ANY INCOME YOU RECEIVE IS TAXABLE whether if it is from selling items on EBay or selling SRECs. However, if it does not lead to a PROFIT then how can it be reported.

Key Point – To sell SRECs I had to install a Solar PV setup and that cost me money.  My initial cost to sell those SRECs was my total cost of the PV installation less the federal and state incentives. So the proceeds from my SRECs is offset by the cost of the Solar PV system. Therefore, one should not have to declare the proceeds until the total cost of the system has been reached.

For example – my PV system cost me $14320 after federal and state grants.
I received $720 for SRECs in 2009 = my cost is reduced to $13600. If I get $1200 for SRECs in 2010 = my cost is further reduced to $12400. It is not until my total cost is zero that my SRECs will give me a profit. Keep in mind, I am selling my SRECs to recoup my initial investment in solar not to initially profit from selling SRECs. That is how I am going to proceed.

Another way to look at it is that my $14320 investment needs to be depreciated over time. If a Tax expert purchases a computer for $3000 and the useful life is 3 years – it is depreciation over the three years. So if the Tax expert makes $1000 in profit the first year – that is offset by the $1000 computer cost using simple depreciation. Depending upon how you want to depreciate the Solar PV setup 5 Years, 10 Years or useful Life of 25 Years, that depreciation cost would offset my SRECs proceeds.

Moreover, it is just like when I sell items on EBay. I deduct the cost of the item, EBay/PayPal fees, shipping, and packaging from the sale price and then what is left is the PROFIT or “other income” on my 1040 that I report on my taxes.

If one keeps good records – as to the total cost of the PV system and SRECs received – it should be clear to the IRS that a PROFIT was not made until the system’s cost was totally paid off.

– Michael from Maryland

Check out Michael’s personal website at www.solarpvhome.com. It covers his family’s move toward “Going Green and Saving Green”.


SRECs and Taxes

Posted January 19th, 2010 by SRECTrade.

A quick disclaimer: We are hoping to provide this information to help people understand the issues and questions that arise around the tax treatment of SRECs. For definitive legal advice, consult a tax lawyer or tax accountant. If they don’t know, then perhaps this blog post will help them along their way.

With tax season rapidly approaching, we commonly get the following question:

Is the income generated from SRECs considered taxable income?

Questions constantly arise regarding the tax treatment of SRECs and it seems that no legislative body or government agency has explicitly answered the question. For example, the New Jersey Office of Clean Energy, the pioneer in SREC markets, provides the following information in their FAQs:

Is SREC income taxable? Will I be issued a 1099 if I sell my SRECs? Is there sales tax on an SREC?
– There is not a definitive ruling on this issue. We recommend you discuss the issue with your tax accountant and perhaps a tax lawyer.

Well that would be helpful, but chances are your tax accountant or tax lawyer probably doesn’t even know the answer to this question, let alone understand the concept of an SREC. We asked one well-respected accounting firm if they could help us answer this question and they quoted us a $5,000 fee to find out. In a recent article on NJ.com, in a response to a reader’s question on SREC taxation, the article’s author was able to get a quote from IRS spokesperson, Gregg Semanick. Kudos to their efforts, however, we are not sure that they completely understand the concept of an SREC.  It is clear from the exerpt shown here that both the article’s author and Semanick have SRECs confused with electricity:

“Semanick offers you kudos for being savvy enough to generate electricity, and in sufficient capacity to have some left over to sell. But, he said, the income from selling your “product” is taxable. You using the income to pay the PSE&G loan has no bearing on the issue of taxability.”

When you sell SRECs you are NOT selling your “left over” solar electricity. Electricity is indeed a product and it certainly makes sense that you would pay taxes on any income generated from that sale of electricity.  However, a solar renewable energy certificate, an SREC, is not electricity, it is a tradeable certificate, separate from the electricity, denoting that a megawatt hour of solar electricity was produced (regardless of what happened to the actual electricity).

How do you classify SREC revenues? The answer to this question is complex because, in reality, an SREC is a fabricated commodity created by a government program intended to use a market mechanism to subsidize the cost of solar. We’re not sure how easily the term “subsidy” could be used to describe SRECs, but if the government were subsidizing locally grown foods in order to incentivize you to support local businesses, would it make sense to also tax you on that subsidy, thereby decreasing its value? In the same sense, if the government is using SRECs as a way to level the playing field with other forms of electricity, does it make sense to tax you on the subsidy? That is one simple interpretation, but since the revenues from your SRECs are not a direct subsidy, the answer is a bit more convoluted. The government is lessening the cost of solar to you by forcing electricity suppliers to meet a solar requirement through the purchase of SRECs from solar generators. Those electricity suppliers then pass the cost onto the rate-payers. Therefore, some might argue, it is the consumer, not the government, who is effectively paying the subsidy, so taxation would apply since it is not a “government” subsidy.

Our conversation with the IRS. We spent a great deal of time on the phone with the IRS seeking answers to these questions. Everyone there was extremely helpful, but it took being transferred to several individuals within the organization, before we were able to get a hold of someone with some expertise in anything related to our questions. The first thing we learned is that there is no explicit ruling in IRS documentation relating to Renewable Energy Credits, so any information we were given was based on the interpretations of the individuals at the IRS that we consulted. Therefore, they were unable to provide anything in writing. The key question we were told to ask in this situation was “Are the SRECs sold in order to make a profit.” As long as that answer is no, then the individual we spoke to saw no reason why SRECs should be considered taxable income. Since you are selling the SRECs in order to recoup your investment in solar which supports the government’s intitiative towards clean energy, then you are not profiting from the sale of SRECs. However, if you have begun to turn a profit on the investment as a result of inflated SREC prices (or any other reason), then you should report it to the IRS and pay taxes on the revenues from any SRECs you sell to make a profit.

Our advice. We are often asked if we provide 1099s for our customers. We do not provide the 1099 tax form, but will leave it to our customers to decide how to handle the revenue from their SRECs. You do not need the 1099 to claim the income in your tax filings. If you decide not to claim the income, be aware that the IRS does have the authority to claim taxes as far back as seven years, so you should exercise discipline, understanding that you could some day be asked for that money. Until there is some definitive ruling on this issue, be careful!

And yes, you should definitely discuss it with your tax accountant or a tax lawyer.  We hope that the information provided here will give you a better understanding of what you and your advisors need to take into consideration.


2009 PA SREC pricing data

Posted January 14th, 2010 by SRECTrade.

As we have mentioned previously, the Pennsylvania market is slightly different than other SREC markets because the SACP is not published until December after the energy year trading has concluded.  The PA PUC recently published the prices paid by SRECs purchased for compliance in PA. Note: this only reflects prices paid by the electricity suppliers, i.e. the end buyers.  As you can see the SACP for 2009 was $550.15 in PA.  Up slightly from $528.34 the previous year.

2008/2009 Alternative Energy Credit Pricing

AEC Type Weighted Average Price Price Range ACP
Solar PV $260.19 $225 – $690 $550.15

Our comments:  Although the price range was $225 – $690, the majority of PA SRECs must have traded in the mid-$200 range due to the fact that the weighted average price was only $260.  With the way this market is structured, buyers will try to purchase at the average price level throughout the year so as not to drive the average price up.  This is reflective of the market price.  However, at year end, if a buyer is in danger of not procuring enough SRECs to comply, the buyer will be willing to pay anything below their best calculation of the SACP for that year.  Based on the results above, it appears that most buyers paid around $260 for SRECs in PA in 2009, however, there was at least one buyer, who in an effort to avoid the SACP, paid a price of $690! We wonder if that was based on the buyer’s own calculation that the SACP would be at or above $700, or if it was the case that an SREC bought in the NJ market was used for PA compliance.

The good news for PA solar generators is that the average trading price is increasing.  We expect this trend to continue as the solar requirement increases each your for Pennsylvania electricity suppliers.

NJ SREC prices relative to the SACP

Posted November 5th, 2009 by SRECTrade.

We often get questions from customers asking why New Jersey SRECs were trading at $675 for most of the early part f this year, but have since dropped.  The primary driver of this change is that we are now in the 2010 energy year in New Jersey. As of June 1, 2009, all SRECs created are 2010 SRECs. The $675 price we saw in previous months was for 2009 SRECs (through May 31, 2009). The $675 price represented 95% of the $711 2009 solar alternative compliance payment (SACP), which is what utilities pay for the SRECs they can’t collect.  You will see that the $660 price that we’ve seen for 2010 SRECs is actually consistent with pricing earlier this year.  This time the SACP is $693 for 2010 SRECs, however the new price of $660 still represents 95% of the SACP. The chart below tracks how our NJ auction history has performed compared to the SACP; the theoretical ceiling price for SRECs.

NJ SREC Pricing Relative to SACP

Pennsylvania SACP Clarification

Posted August 28th, 2009 by SRECTrade.

According to the Pennsylvania state RPS, the SACP (Solar Alternative Compliance Payment) or fine paid by utilities that do not purchase enough SRECs to comply is set as:

200% of the “average market value for solar photovoltaic alternative energy credits sold during the reporting period in the RTO control area where the noncompliance occurred.”

The RTO control area referenced is the PJM region, so we were previously under the impression that the SACP is determined by the average SREC price in the region – which includes Delaware, Maryland and New Jersey among others. However, the interpretation used by the state when implementing this program is that the SACP could only be based on the average price of SRECs used to meet the Pennsylvania RPS. This is considered regional because residents in other PJM region states can register and sell their SRECs into the Pennsylvania market. Apparently that justifies the requirement that it is an average of the RTO region. Therefore, the Pennsylvania SACP is NOT impacted by the price of SRECs that are used to meet the RPS in New Jersey, Maryland, Delaware or any other states within the region.

In conclusion, the SACP in Pennsylvania for SRECs created through May 2009 will be posted in December of 2009 and will be double the average price of SRECs counted towards the Pennsylvania RPS.  In 2008, the average price was around $264, resulting in a 2008 SACP of $528.  Since this average price is taken from data provided by the utilities (end-buyers), it doesn’t reflect the actual price that generators recieved for their SRECs when markups and broker fees are taken into consideration.  Therefore if generators are getting prices of $300+ in Pennsylvania for their SRECs, it’s possible that the average price paid by the end-buyers is much higher.  On the flip-side, a good portion of what the end-buyer procures may also come from previously negotiated long-term contracts that have locked sellers in at low prices.  So it could go either way. Sometimes rulemakers are experts at layering complexity upon complexity!

The silver lining in all this is that we hope that the monthly Pennsylvania SREC auctions hosted at SRECTrade will help bring stability and fairness to this market, making it easier for individuals to make the decision to go solar! We can’t tell you where the market is going, but soon enough, we’ll be able to tell you where it has been.

Pennsylvania SACP by energy year (June 1 – May 31):
2010 – TBD 12/10
2009 – TBD 12/09
2008 – $528

August SREC auction commentary

Posted August 11th, 2009 by SRECTrade.

SRECTrade recently closed the August auction with a price of $680 for 2009 SRECs in New Jersey, as well as prices of $663 for 2010 NJ SRECs, $245 for Delaware, $300 for Pennsylvania and $308 for Maryland.

2009 NJ SRECs
This was a new high for the 2009 NJ SREC market which closes next month. If you still have 2009 SRECs available, your last chance to sell them will be in our September 11th auction. Get on it!

2010 NJ SRECs
The reason for a distinction between 2010 and 2009 NJ SRECs and their relative values was highlighted in an earlier posting we did on the new energy year. We were concerned that there might be a significant drop in the pricing as the new year started, but the $663 clearing price is extremely encouraging for several reasons.  First, the fact that prices remained above $600 indicates that the New Jersey market has stabilized. In previous years, legislative changes led to instability in pricing. Brokers and other intermediaries benefited from such instability. Today, with a better educated seller-base and buyers who have now been able to develop a strategy from the experience gained in recent years, perhaps we will see a more stable market.  Second, in previous years, sellers would have been incentivized to hold their SRECs until the end of the year to get the best price.  Considering that last August, our auction yielded a price of $461 and then later topped out at $680 for 2009, that strategy made sense.  However, given that the SACP has dropped to $693 for this year, $663 is actually a better price in 2010 than $680 was in 2009 relative to the SACP. We can only speculate how the New Jersey market will evolve through 2010, but it is definitely not the same market we saw in 2009. Since 2009 SRECs are only good in 2009, they held no value if the state solar requirement was achieved. In 2010, SRECs can be applied in both this year and 2011. This has two effects. First, sellers can hold onto their credits if they don’t like the price they get now. In addition if the solar requirement is met, SRECs will still hold value in the following year, so the market does not drop to zero. Finally, from a buyer’s perspective there are two approaches that can be taken. Either buy what you can now for as low a price as possible and then drive prices up at year end if you don’t complete your requirement, or start out with a high price and lower it as you get closer to achieving the requirement. In that latter scenario, what you might see is more volume early in the year as sellers are disincentivized to wait, and perhaps less of a scramble at the end. It still is way early to tell how the prices will hold over the next few months. From our perspective, we’re hoping to see stability for the benefit of sellers, buyers and anyone thinking about getting into solar. As this market matures, the easier it will be to make that decision to bet on the value of SRECs in New Jersey.

New state markets
The fluctuation from $375 to $308 in the Maryland market is a confirmation of the obvious: these are all still very immature markets. The Pennsylvania market should see an increase above the $300 price as more buyers get into the mix. When the 2009 SACP gets published in December, it will likely be even higher than the 2008 SACP of $528 that was published in December of 2008 for the 2008 energy year. Considering that it is tied to 200% of the average trading price in the PA and prices are only increasing, 2010 should be an even better year to sell SRECs to utilities that may be struggling to meet the growing solar requirement. The way the SACP is set in Pennsylvania further complicates an already complex market. Meanwhile, Delaware and Maryland have more stable markets, but face their own challenges. In Delaware, most of the solar requirement is applied to energy supplied by Delmarva Power. Therefore, they feel the most pressure to deliver solar energy in the state. With few buyers, it may be a difficult market for small generators to navigate, so many will turn to Pennsylvania and other markets where they could be eligible. Maryland, meanwhile has been trying to encourage long term contracts, but buyers have been reluctant to enter into any long term SREC programs because of their own uncertainty over the state of deregulation in the state. However, there is a lot of potential in the Maryland market. Both these states and many others may eventually turn to Pennsylvania to sell their SRECs into that market. Even this comes at a risk. Pennsylvania currently has two pieces of legislation being considered. First is the House Bill 80 which, as currently written, would change the law so that Pennsylvania would no longer accept out-of-state SRECs, unless captured in a existing contract.  In PA, there is also a senate version of the bill, SB92.  The senate has to pass their version and then reconcile with the house before the bill can be sent to the governor for approval.  In SB92, it states that 50% of SRECs must come from within PA.  The other 50% can come from outside of the commonwealth (from states like DE, MD, OH). Our take: The House Bill was presented by Vitali, Ross, George, and DePasquale, along with a host of other liberal Democrats.  The senate is 29/50 republican, while the house is democratic majority.  So far, in the house, the votes have split party line with republicans against.  The senate bill has yet to get out of first committee, and if the votes go anyway like they did in the house, the 29/50 republican block in the senate will shut the bill down.  Even if a bill does pass, it is possible that the 50% out-of-state clause will be included in the final version. We hope that if something like that is implemented that the government would at least grandfather in anyone who was registered and certified prior to the legislation. As we all know, since this is a form of subsidy for solar, we all remain at the mercy of the state governments.

Solar Alternative Compliance Payment (SACP)

Posted July 22nd, 2009 by SRECTrade.

The Solar Alternative Compliance Payment (SACP) is the amount that Load Serving Entities (LSEs), i.e. electricity suppliers, must pay per MWh of solar electricity that they are unable to generate themselves or buy rights to through SREC purchases in order to meet the state Renewable Portfolio Standard (RPS) solar requirement. Find out more about future RPS and SACP values from your state page on our SREC Program Information page.

An LSE is better off buying SRECs as long as the price is less than the SACP.  However, LSEs incur costs in purchasing SRECs, so the maximum price they are willing to pay may actually be well below the SACP. For instance, if a utility calculates that the cost to purchase an SREC is $40, they may not be willing to pay more than $40 less than the SACP. At that price, they can save money by simply paying the SACP.

Of course, while the SACP is fixed in any given year, the price of SRECs varies based on the market forces of supply and demand.  Find out more about this on our SREC Program Information page.